[Closed] $15, ATo bubble after fish limps

According to wiz this is a huge 3.8% of a prize pull mistake if you assume that K7 is his bottom range.
Even if he is open limping 30% here and calling only 8% (AJ+ ATS+, 66+) its a minus 2% push.
Given that shorty has to push into two big stacks and you might get to push into him, you are in the money more often that not without this push.
Without limper however its a +ev push regardless of bb's calling range

Originally posted by milanandonov
Even if he is open limping 30% here and calling only 8% (AJ+ ATS+, 66+) its a minus 2% push.

Your numbers are incorrect. You didn't adjust overcalling ranges and "Hero folds" ranges. (It still looks -EV, but def not -2)

With normal-looking callingranges it becomes breakeven when he limps ~47% if he calls top 8%. But according to my experience these people usually only trap some big pairs, but def raise the AK-AJ part of their range, and it becomes quickly good when we are rarely dominated IMO.

Thing is I'm not sure what to assume when in a situation like this, it can't be purely reconstructed in Wizard, these fishes use their own handrankings when raiseing or limp/calling or limp/folding

Yes i adjusted overcalling ranges and after hero folds action and even if you assume open 47% folding any but 8 percent, with sb pushing 20% which is very wide here its around 0.9% -ev.
Anyway i assume that fish cutoff is confident of his stack and will call you just to make the point wider then even he thinks is good

Usually stupid players limp/call too wide to make this a good shove. Especially if you consider the small stack in the SB. I let this go.