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[Closed] $3.50 bubble Q4o BVB calling

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Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t150.00/t300.00 Blinds - 4 players - View hand 1419311
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t8175.00 27.25 BBs - VPIP: 16, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 4.5, Hands: 415
Hero (BB): t900.00 3 BBs - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 3.5, Hands: 128137
CO: t950.00 3.17 BBs - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 3.2, Hands: 385
BTN: t3475.00 11.58 BBs - VPIP: 26, PFR: 4, 3B: 4, AF: 2.3, Hands: 73

Pre Flop: (t450) Hero is BB with 4 :heart: Q :diamond:
2 folds, SB raises to t1200, Hero calls t600 all in

Unknown villain in SB: 4.0/23/20 Hands=182 Steal%=35

Nash says against ATC push I can only call 50.50% (22+, Kx+, Q2s+, Q5o+, J5s+, J8o+, T7s+, T8o+, 98s)

If I put villain on 95% in Wiz--> I can call only with 44.60% (33+, A2+, K3+, K2s+, Q7+, Q4s+, J8s+, J7s+, T9+, T8s+)

Shouldn't we take a negative edge call here? if yes, by how much/which hands?


3 replies
Gerovit
Joined: 16.01.2011

Against random hand Q4o has 49.1% equty
According to icm explorer you need 56.55% equity
You lose 7% equty in best case scenario, that is a lot your direct opponent hits the blinds next so i would fold this and wait for better spot (even if it means that next hand you have to call in bb with good enough pot odds)


Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

I'm folding here and hoping to catch anything that I can push with before the BB comes back to me, realizing that I have virtually no FE.


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Looks like a folding war spot where we must fold.