Villain is a Tight REG = 13/7/2 af/23 wtsd
fold to 3b = 75%
ATS = 21%
flop cbet % = 75%
This is really just a preflop question: what would have a higher EV here a flat call or a 3b?
Flat: Obviously vs this player if I flat call I can play IP and pick off c-bets by floating and so on since he will c-bet his air a fair amount, with a cbet% of 75%, however I can not do this on a lot of boards and I have to expect to be able to outplay or outflop him a lot.
3bet: He is stealing fairly wide in this spot fairly often. In addition he is folding to 3bets regularly allowing me to take down the pot uncontested often. In the rare event he 4bets I can safely fold, but is 3bet/fold too spewy?
Pacific Poker - $0.06 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
MP: $3.63
CO: $6.00
BTN: $9.22
SB: $6.00
Hero (BB): $6.24
UTG: $5.57
UTG+1: $6.37
SB posts SB $0.03, Hero posts BB $0.06
Pre Flop: ($0.09) Hero has Q♥ A♠
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.18, Hero raises to $0.54, SB calls $0.36
Flop: ($1.08, 2 players) T♠ T♥ 2♠
SB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($1.08, 2 players) K♠
SB bets $0.12, Hero calls $0.12
River: ($1.32, 2 players) 3♠
SB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $1.00, fold
Hero wins $1.81
