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[Closed] A6o in CO, close to bubble (20man sattelite)

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random3
Joined: 21.02.2007
PokerStrategist

20 players sattelite SNG, top 6 get seat, 9 players left in tournament

I havent played last 15 hands, previous orbit I shoved twice in a row and picked up the blinds

$200/$400 Ante $25 No Limit Holdem
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($4,831)
UTG+1 ($4,253)
MP1 ($1,615)
MP2 ($3,465)
MP3 ($2,776)
Hero (CO) ($2,180)
BTN ($4,350) 12vpip/9pfr
SB ($2,775) 20/12
BB ($3,755) 20/12

Pre-Flop: ($825, 9 players) Hero is CO 6♣ A♦
5 folds, Hero ($2180)?


2 replies
random3 Topic starter
random3
Joined: 21.02.2007
PokerStrategist

I did some ICM calculations giving the opponents tight range for bu, and average for blinds. Results are almost exact centre between push or fold (0.1% better to push). How do you decide in such situation if you go for a fold or raise?
Because of the payout structure and chance to go bust, I am thinking it's better to pass on such marginal spots, is my thinking correct?


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007
Elite Grinder

Hi all,

The payout structure takes into account those factors. What you should consider is whether they are calling wider or tighter than your assigned ranges. If you're using Nash calculator most likely they will have these players calling overall looser than they would in-game. This isn't always the case, if you had 4350 chips and pushed then Nash calculator would assume a much tighter calling range than is realistic. So here I would make the push and hope my opponents don't call wider than Nash.


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