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[Closed] NL 200 76s

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Poker Stars
SB ($373)
Hero ($250)
UTG ($218)
UTG+1 ($200)
CO ($269)
BTN ($202)

Dealt to Hero 7♠ 6♠

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $5, fold, Hero calls $3

FLOP ($11) 2♦ 3♠ 7♦

Hero checks, BTN bets $8, Hero raises to $22, BTN calls $14

TURN ($55) 2♦ 3♠ 7♦ A♦

Hero checks, BTN bets $38, Hero folds

BTN wins $52.30

Villan is reg, 24/20, 55% steal from bu, 68% cbet, 28% WTS, 50% fold cbet to raise (8), 1.7k hands.

What's my play on turn? I dont quite like betting since i'm turning my hand into a bluff.


5 replies

I dislike the way u played a lot.

First I like folding pre / 3 betting I doubt u can turn a profit here even if he minraises

Secondly; u are allready turning ur hand into a bluff on the F since there are no turn card u can continue for value except 6 and 7

As played I bet turn, best card in the deck for ur perceived range, and I bet quite big and plan to c/f river.

That said I like ur flop c/r since there are many good turn cards for u to keep betting


Ico0o
Joined: 28.07.2010

As played,
I'm betting the turn all the time, to fold out all his overpairs (flop) without a :diamond: , which are pretty much more combinations than flushdraws in his range.


Ico0o:

His steal is 55%, there's very low chance he has overpair.
There's also more combinations of FDs than overpairs.
I also think it's likely that he calls with sth like AxJd because he wants to float me if I give up, his fold to c/r is quite low.

42 combos of overpairs and at least 55 combos of FDs (did check out equilab).

MathhNes:

Pre: I'm calling this for balance, cuz I also want to represent sth when I c/r on low flops (I'm mostly play 3bet or fold with low pockets).
I am 3betting sth like 46s, 57s and 68s.

Post: I'm always c/r ing this flop, I c/r it a lot as a bluff and this c/r is obv for value.


Originally posted by z1pz0r
Ico0o:

MathhNes:

Pre: I'm calling this for balance, cuz I also want to represent sth when I c/r on low flops (I'm mostly play 3bet or fold with low pockets).
I am 3betting sth like 46s, 57s and 68s.

Post: I'm always c/r ing this flop, I c/r it a lot as a bluff and this c/r is obv for value.

I don't mind ur balancing argument :)

How can u possibly say it's for value when u build a very big pot out of position with such a marginal hand? I think u will often end up folding the best Hand by the river.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

MathhNes:

Pre: I'm calling this for balance
Imo you're looking at this the wrong way. When you call smth like 76s you need to balance this with strong hands which means you cannot 3bet all of them for value.
Or put another way: I much rather balance my 3bettingrange wth 76s than my callingrange with some AK type hand.

Post: I'm always c/r ing this flop, I c/r it a lot as a bluff and this c/r is obv for value.

Originally posted by z1pz0r
Ico0o:

His steal is 55%, there's very low chance he has overpair.
There's also more combinations of FDs than overpairs.
I also think it's likely that he calls with sth like AxJd because he wants to float me if I give up, his fold to c/r is quite low.

42 combos of overpairs and at least 55 combos of FDs (did check out equilab).

Once we get to the flop imo the c/r is ok.
C/calling sucks because we'll look weak and will therefore be forced to make calldowns (after all we induced) - so we will inevitably end up making mistakes.

Checkraising turns the hand into a bluff, but his range is wide and we can bet for value on a 6 or a 7 as well as continue bluffing on diamonds and spades, so we can bet more than 50% of turncards.

Having said that, the Ad is one of the best cards to continue imo - we can rep the flush perfectly and now we have a decent chance to get most former overpairs to fold.