[Closed] AA 60$ 6m top set vs river shove

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PetChoveka

Joined: 14.02.2010

Posts: 316

22.09.2011, 22:07 0

MP is unknown - 39/27/13.3 with 24% postflop agg and 40% fold to cbet for 34 hands filtered

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,500)
BB ($1,500)
UTG ($1,500)
UTG+1 ($1,500)
Hero ($1,500)
BTN ($1,500)

Dealt to Hero A♦ A♠

fold, UTG+1 raises to $40, Hero raises to $120, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $80

FLOP ($270) 9♦ 8♥ A♥

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $140, UTG+1 calls $140

TURN ($550) 9♦ 8♥ A♥ T♦

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $330, UTG+1 calls $330

RIVER ($1,210) 9♦ 8♥ A♥ T♦ 6♦

UTG+1 bets $910 (AI), Hero calls $910 (AI)

Not sure if the bet sizing is ok. I had the top set on the flop but it was draw heavy, so i wanted to bet big, but i think there aren`t that many hands that will call me a big bet. Should i bet bigger there and how much? The turn looks bad but i don`t think it`s that bad, bc it only improves 67 and JQ and they aren`t that likely to call me pre and on the flop, so i bet bigger trying to get value out of 2p, sets and all kind of draws. Should i bet even bigger? If yes why and how much? The river loos also like a bad card, but actually it`s not that scary imo, bc 7x is not that likely to mR/c pre and ch/c the flop and the turn. I`ve got the A :diamond: so the backdoor flush isn`t very likely, so i think the call there is ok. What do u think? I don`t like folding there it just seems like a bad idea to me. ♠_confused:

2 replies

_Anonymous_

27.09.2011, 13:11 0

I think the betsizing is fine, like you said, you have a good hand but the flop is very drawy. The donkb on the river looks scary but I just don't see him having a diamond flush or a bd straight here very often, and I don't think I could fold this vs an unknown with these stats. To me it looks more like a busted heart draw or some strange 2P hand.

_Anonymous_

04.10.2011, 17:10 0

bigger on the flop and the turn. there are many hands that will call you on both streets that are worse, many draws. im still happy to bet/call the turn. QJ is very unlikely so we are just worried about 67 when he can have a ton of 2 pairs or combo draws.

how much on both streets? 70%-80% on both streets

river is interesting. we only beat busted flush draw. i usually see the nuts when people take this line, so i usually fold (sucks but i expect a seven or better very often) doesnt make sense for him to c/c 2 streets with 2 pair then donk ship that river with it. he would just c/c again.