Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($25)
BB ($37.17)
UTG ($45.87)
CO ($35.69)
Hero ($25.60)
Dealt to Hero 4♦ J♦
UTG calls $0.25, fold, Hero raises to $1, fold, BB calls $0.75, UTG calls $0.75
FLOP ($3.10) J♥ 8♦ 2♠
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.10, BB folds, UTG calls $2.10
TURN ($7.30) J♥ 8♦ 2♠ 2♣
UTG checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($7.30) J♥ 8♦ 2♠ 2♣ Q♦
UTG bets $6, Hero ???
Villain fish 58/22. Agg% over 120 hands is 21/16/29. Being 3way and not many draws, can he be bluffing? Are we 33%'ish ahead?
Oh and don't tell me fold preflop, its not like I always do it. I do it when I'm confident enough it will be a +EV move.