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[Closed] what is most plus ev?

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Ello was playing NL50 on Betmost when this hand came i dno really if reraise + bett turn is the most plus ev way but i like staying aggressive and having the lead.

IPoker Network $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1467400
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $50.75
BTN: $72.17
SB: $97.25
BB: $60.52
Hero (UTG): $94.39
MP: $50.75

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A K
Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, BTN raises to $4.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $3

Flop: ($9.75) 4 3 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $5.50, Hero raises to $17.50, BTN calls $12

Turn: ($44.75) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $26.00, BTN raises to $50.17, Hero calls $24.17

River: ($145.09) 6 (2 players)

Hmm im not sure if calling would be better due to the fact he seems like an quite aggressive regg. (28/27 - 11% 3bett - 8,9 aggression and 65% freq on flop and turn

Please explain :)


8 replies
yougotfelted51
Joined: 04.02.2010

whatre the suits?
if villain is aggro with 11% 3bet just 4bet/call off.
do you have a 3b vs utg % for villain?


AKs (Clubs) and the flop is with 2 clubs :) but if the guy is aggro wouldn't be better just calling? since i doubt he is going crazy with air over 4betts? so i won't let him bluff with air? but no i don't have that stat on him


I think we should AI preflop. And if we raise flop, its better to 4bet/all in because:
1. we have enough odd+fold equity
2. in most cases we will bet/call AI on the turn


yougotfelted51
Joined: 04.02.2010

vs this particular villain, 4bet/call pre
as played make flop check raise bigger so you have a pot size turn jam left


ye sounds good was thinking a lot about it but didn't know what was most plus ev thanks though guys


BTW, button played this hand brilliantly IMO. When he saw your check/raise on that flop he knew he was ahead but not that much so he went for the stack when a blank turn card falls

And I think you should just check/call flop. Cause check/raise there just does not make sense at all.

And I don't understand some of the analysis here. Against a deep stack like this how can we call AI pre with AKs?


similarily this deep why would we be shoving AK pre? there is no sense in it.

As played i think the flop raise is good maybe should be bigger though to pot build.

Then i dont know whether to call it off on the turn or just shove in myself.

tricky spot as if he calls the flop he has a big over pair 9 times out of 10. so your A or k may not be clean.


Still raising the flop is for sure +EV and don't forget fold ev vs some pairs but ye dno about the turn but i agree check calling is a lot better... keeps his air in the pot (and he will most likely use an Ace/King as scare card if it lands) and if not well i got plenty of outs to win the hand vs overpairs