[Closed] NL5 FR JJ in CO

It's a fold vs the all in on the flop.

We need to call 1.57 for a pot of 4.98, so we need 1.57/4.98=~31.4% equity.

Given the board is monotone I expect him to have either a set or a flush.
Vs this range we have less than 25% equity (see below), so it's a fold.

Board: T♠9♠2♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    23.93%  23.93%   0.00% { JsJc }
MP3    76.07%  76.07%   0.00% { TT-99, 22, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, 8s7s, 7s6s, As5s, As4s, As3s }

Hello Maartinss,

Well, first of all I'd mention that on those limits you can still raise it 5xBB with one limper. They are Calling you anyways, there is no big difference.

About the play, well that's true that we need ~32% equity here. Although I doubt that I am every folding this. Why?
a) His stack size indicates that he is rather a bad player, most likely loose.
b) His range can't contain only flush/set type of hands. Why should it be? I mean do you think he is folding all other Tx hands? Never!
c) Even if he has set then we still have outs for our flush.
d) 3rd guys is pretty much dead money in the pot, we don't count him.

Conclusion, I am never folding this with my overpair+FD against that kind of stack. If he had a full stack then I would consider that but not in this case. Nice hand, never be result oriented!

Board: 2♠9♠T♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    56.22%  56.22%   0.00% { JsJc }
UTG+1  43.78%  43.78%   0.00% { TT-99, 22, ATs, KTs, QTs, T9s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, QsJs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, As8s, Ks8s, Qs8s, As7s, Ks7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, ATo, KTo, QTo, T9o, As9c }

That's my calculation of his range. We could of course add few more flushes or whatsoever but that wont change the case that we still can Call it easily.

Best Regards.

Thx. both of you for evaluate this hand.

I agree with Veriz. Even hands with A of spade might find a ch/raise push there.