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[Closed] PLO25 - Top set on bad turn HU low SPR

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TerrorBlade
Joined: 16.10.2007

Villain is 57/7 loose passive player.

Do we take the out he has presented us here when checked to? If we bet any decent size we are priced in to call a ship but our SPR is like 0.99 so I feel given he didn't donk out we want to just ship and get value from the non J9/AJ draws?

I'm leaning towards a ship but I'm not sure whether the Q destroys us that badly.

Alternate Reality: What if he leads into us for pot on this turn? We have 20% against a straight so we'd need to be up against a worse hand quite often to call it off.

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($29.48)
UTG ($41.08)
Hero (MP) ($34.77)
CO ($36.93)
Button ($21.92)
SB ($63.11)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K♣, Q♥, K♥, 7♥
1 fold, Hero bets $0.85, 2 folds, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.55) 10:diamond:, 7♦, K♠ (3 players)
SB bets $1, BB calls $1, Hero raises to $6.43, 1 fold, BB calls $5.43

Turn: ($16.41) Q♠ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero ???


2 replies
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

You have to bet/call as you already said. It sucks but giving a free card here is worse in the long run than the times you end up all in versus a straight.

I honestly expect my opponents to be on a flush draw on the flop rather than a straight draw when they call off a pot raise on the flop, and whilst a J :diamond: can be with the A :diamond: here (which is why he checks, because he thinks he has the pot locked up), if he doesn't have the straight then it would be terrible to give him a free card (he might even show up with KT or 77 sometimes).

Yes sometimes you are beat here, but long term you have to bet and suck it up, if you were deeper then you would have a tough decision but as it is I think you only have 1 play.


TerrorBlade
Joined: 16.10.2007

Cool, makes sense.