Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($10.90)
BB ($111)
UTG ($110)
UTG+1 ($143) fish - VP:50/PFR:6/AF:2 (1.3, 1.7, 11.5) /WTSD:28 (200 hands) pretty passive and seems aggro on river
Hero ($197)
BTN ($100)
Dealt to Hero K♠ A♠
fold, UTG+1 calls $1, Hero raises to $4.50, fold, SB calls $4, fold, UTG+1 calls $3.50
FLOP ($14.50) A♦ 6♠ T♥
SB bets $6.40 (AI), UTG+1 calls $6.40, Hero raises to $23, UTG+1 calls $16.60
TURN ($66.90) A♦ 6♠ T♥ 9♦
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $27, UTG+1 calls $27
RIVER ($120) A♦ 6♠ T♥ 9♦ 2♥
UTG+1 ($89.1 left) checks, Hero checks
I think it is fine until the river where I never know if I should bet for value or if I am isolating vs better hands (his WTSD isnt that high). Also another alternative is to bet small but I would hate to get shoved on (esp since he is aggro on river). With 100bb stacks it is an easy shove river since he would call probably all his Ax but on river the pot is 120bb and he has 90bb left.
I was playing around with equilab with different scenarios at this point I give him only Ax:
Board: Ad6sTh9d2h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 67.82% 64.37% 3.45% { AsKs }
MP3 32.18% 28.74% 3.45% { AA, A2s+, A2o+ }
Board: Ad6sTh9d2h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 55.56% 50.79% 4.76% { AsKs }
MP3 44.44% 39.68% 4.76% { AA, A6s+, A2s, A6o+, A2o }
Board: Ad6sTh9d2h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 49.09% 43.64% 5.45% { AsKs }
MP3 50.91% 45.45% 5.45% { AA, A8s+, A6s, A2s, A8o+, A6o, A2o }
