BTN is a good LAG. His BTN steal range is 55%. He is also extremely aggressive and we have some dynamics going on. He usually bets more on the flop, which is little suspicious. Turn brings flush draw so I get active and donk. I sometimes do it as a bluff or semibluff too so I don't think that makes my hand obvious. He raises! Normally I would fold of course but this guy is really tricky and really-really über-aggro. So I figure large part of his range here is either a draw or maybe complete air sometimes. So I decide to call and see what happens next. River brings another Q, he overshoves and I really don't know what to make of it. Would he raise a Q on the turn (assuming it isnt a two-pair)? Hardly. So basically in my opinion his range on the river is full houses and bluffs. The problem is I don't know how often he's bluffing here.
€1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
BTN: €282.02
SB: €99.00
Hero (BB): €108.00
UTG: €103.47
CO: €112.94
SB posts SB €0.50, Hero posts BB €1.00
Pre Flop: (€1.50) Hero has T♦ K♣
fold, fold, BTN raises to €3.00, fold, Hero calls €2.00
Flop: (€6.50, 2 players) Q♣ K♠ 6♥
Hero checks, BTN bets €3.05, Hero calls €3.05
Turn: (€12.60, 2 players) 2♠
Hero bets €7.90, BTN raises to €24.00, Hero calls €16.10
River: (€60.60, 2 players) Q♦
Hero checks, BTN bets €251.97 and is all-in, fold
BTN wins €56.97