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calling shortie EP allin A2s

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($3,660)
Hero ($2,770)
UTG ($8,120)
UTG+1 ($1,800)
CO ($1,760)
BTN ($1,890)

Dealt to Hero A♣ 2♣

fold, UTG+1 raises to $1,800 (AI), fold, fold, fold, fold

I think villain can definitely be raising quite wide here, but A2s just felt like a really bad hand to get it in with since we're so often dominated or flipping against broadways.

Equity needed: 41.06%
Chip odds: 36.84%
Risk premium: 4.22%
Chips gained by marginal call: 160.22.
Ties count as 54.32% of a win.
SD of marginal call: $16.09.


       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    45.45%  42.16%   3.28% { A2s }
MP3    54.55%  51.27%   3.28% { 22+, A4s+, K6s+, Q8s+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, A5o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o, 98o }

The numbers say a clear call tho


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good analysis, numbers say easy call


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