SB ($107)
BB ($94.06)
Hero ($118)
Dealt to Hero J♦ K♠
Hero raises to $3.50, SB calls $3, fold
FLOP ($8) J♠ 5♦ 4♠
SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB raises to $15, Hero?
Villain 24/19 (116)
cbet flop - 6 out of 8
fold to cbet flop - 1 out of 3
check/raise flop - 1 out of 3
Notes:
ch/c-donk=top pair tk, river 2pair 22:29 AQ-QT44A
PFR ch/r K67m
4bet shove A9s mp.co 80:12:3.5
4bet 21:9 sb.bb
#call 4bet AA
#3bet fold bu.mp
What's the best line?
Given how aggro he is preflop there are almost no strong hands in his floprange.
Assuming he is aggro postflop, too, my plan is to bet/calldown to induce.
Also are we folding on a turn/river spade? I guess on the turn not, given we have the K-spade, but on a potential R?
Originally posted by ShadowCasino
Is shoving a possible play?
He's never folding a set and he doesn't get the odds to call with a FD and he will obv fold his bluffs.
So shoving doesn't make any sense (even if he levels himself into a call with the NFD thinking we might shove worse FDs we don't gain much because we're basically flipping vs FD+overcard).
Originally posted by axelphoney
Also are we folding on a turn/river spade? I guess on the turn not, given we have the K-spade, but on a potential R?
There aren't many FDs in his range (and if he has many, there are even more bluffs imo) so on the turn we can definintely not fold with the redraw.
On the river it's closer, but if he has a bluff the incoming flush is a perfect chance for him to bluff again.
Usually we need to be ahead smth like 1/3 of the time, and even a few bluffcombos in his range will therefore enable us to call.
