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NL100 - Help for analysing some hands.

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Saka000
Joined: 21.07.2010

I have played a couple sessions at NL100 at 6max and because i do not have option to post a hands from hand history i will write it on my own. ;)

Case1 : Hero is MP1 with TT,
all folds,
hero bets 3$ and get re-raised from SB,
Hero???

Case2 : Hero is with KQs at MP1,
all folds,
Hero bets 3$,only BB call.
Flop:9TK rainbow,
Hero bets half pot about 4$ and get raised to 14$,
Hero???

I will appreciate for any comment,especially from the best. _grin:


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2 replies

Case 1

A re-raise from the blinds against MP usually means a strong hand. Of course stats will tell you how strong it actually is. Without more information I would assume his range is JJ+, AQ+. Might be tighter though, QQ+, AK. You can fold or call for set value depending on stack sizes in relation to the 3bet and how bad your oponnent is. However keep in mind that TT is not ahead on a low board, you'll have 40-45% equity. In general, folding is the best option.

Case 2

Insta fold. That flop hits his range pretty hard. You're beat by TT/99. He might have a weak draw with AQ/AJ. If he's never bluffing in this spot, you're crushed with 16% equity. If you think he might bluff you ocasionally with an overcard+backdoor flush then you have 32%. As you see, it's a clear fold if the assumptions are correct.

Let's consider this oppponent to be loose and include hands like KTs, QJs, T9s and 87s on his pre-flop calling range. Even in this case you only have 40%. Although you have the odds to call you can still face big bets on the turn and river. Fold.


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I pretty much agree with ShadowCasino.

In case 1 with 100BB stacks you can argue for either calling or folding, I'd probably end up calling since it's close but our hand has decent equity and good playability postflop.

In case 2 without any reads a) his preflop-callingrange hits the board and b) the hands that miss are mostly small PPs which usually just c/f, so he doesn't really have a big bluffingrange especially since the board hits our perceived range - ofc we're folding TP vs the checkraise, but he doesn't know that so he's most lilely not exploiting it.


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