NL 10 SH JJ river donk

I think given his aggression id let him barrel. I would only consider donking the river if you think he will often c/back 7s and pocket pairs <JJ, If you donk and he shoves you also have an ugly spot getting 2:1.

I like the donk on the river. Villians range is 88-AA, AK-AT, KQ, maybe some other random hands, but that is not important.
He will usually just check behind all worse hands. But bet AA, KK and Qx. His calling frequency to your donk on the river doesnt really change if you make a bigger bet.
His betting size on the turn is small, I asume he would bet bigger with a Q there. So he would bet only AA, KK, JJ, TT on the river.
vs the donk he would call AA, KK, JJ, TT, 99, 88.
You have 3 of those beat, only 2 beat you. Together with the fact that he doesnt really change his calling frequency, I would bet more.
A good size is 2,80. Maybe 3 cent more EV
Against a raise on the river you have an easy fold. But I dont see any hands raising.

Originally posted by Jan217
I think given his aggression id let him barrel. I would only consider donking the river if you think he will often c/back 7s and pocket pairs <JJ, If you donk and he shoves you also have an ugly spot getting 2:1.

I dont think its a good 3 barrel spot as the board is very dry. Some more stats on Villian would be nice. We need his cbet river and agg factor on the river.

Hello dooleslovs,

The opponent most likely wouldn't Bet the river anyways unless he is a maniac. So seems to be like a nice hand!

Depends also on some factors, I might even prefer for value.

Best Regards.

I think I would have 3 bet pre flop between 90 or 1.10 depending on his statistics. Also because we are going to play the hand OOP..
I do not understand I folded on your bet on the river? thanks

thanks everybody for reply, about the donk size, I chose half pot becouse I thought evean small PP could call that, I did not 3bet couse he is folding 88% against 3bet so I would isolate myself against very strong range. He called down(!!) w AA but I still like my Donk.