Ok so I want to learn how to work out whether a bluff is a plus EV decision.
Here is a hand we can use as an example.
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.05(BB) Replayer
SB ($12.79)
BB ($9.74)
UTG ($5.27)
UTG+1 ($5.54)
CO ($5)
Hero ($5)
Dealt to Hero T♥ J♥ Q♣ T♦
UTG raises to $0.15, UTG+1 calls $0.15, CO calls $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, fold, fold
FLOP ($0.67) 7♠ 3♥ 7♦
UTG checks, UTG+1 bets $0.05, CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.15, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, CO raises to $4.14, Hero folds
CO wins $2.88
So i decide this is a good board for my opponent to cbet, and he normally cbets larger than this. I figure it is most likely that he is bluffing.
How do I take this information and calculate the EV of my bluff?
What do I need to consider?
Thanks
Adz