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PLO25, facing ch/minraise on river

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$0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($25)
UTG+1 ($12.59)
Hero (CO) ($31.96)
BTN ($25)
SB ($19.45)
BB ($81.93)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is CO 8♦ 8♥ J♥ A♦
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.10, 2 folds, BB calls $0.85, UTG+1 calls $0.85

Flop: 7♥ 8♣ 5♣ ($3.40, 3 players)
BB bets $1, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls $1

Turn: Q♥ ($5.40, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5.16, BB calls $5.16

River: 5♠ ($15.72, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $11, BB raises to $22, Hero ???

BB: 66 hands, 98/65, donk bet flop 33%(12), post agg: 33% / 45% / 45%

Could have raised the flop, cause his bet is weak, however decided to play it slower IP, cause all i have is naked top set.

On turn could bet smaller, but most likely he'll call pot sized bet anyway if he has anything. I think if he has QQ, he's gonna bet again(and he's not passive station who would check/call anything but nuts), cause my flop call most likely tells him that i don't have the nuts.

Pretty tough river, as i ruled out QQ on the turn, he either has 55 or 77(too unlikely that he's minraising hand like 75 or 85 hoping that i call him with straight imo and he most likely doesn't take them to river unless he had FD to go with it). As for 77, would he really ch/r that?? And he obv could still have QQ, maybe he's not that smart as i think. Am i too nitty letting this one go? :f_biggrin:


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

He thinks you have a straight when you bet the turn.

Pretty sure he value raises the river with any full house because he doesn't put you on a full house yourself. I am probably just going ahead and jamming this river for value because as you said, I don't think he has QQ and if he shows up with quads it's just a set up.

The minraise on the river is sometimes done by people with quads but occasionally someone being a complete idiot does it with total air.

I think I stick the $15 left I have in on the river and hope it wasn't a set up.


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