Villain 56/17, fold to cbet 60% fold turn to cbet 30%, folds river to cbet 50%
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.30(BB) Replayer
SB ($65.25)
BB ($34.82)
UTG ($32.55)
UTG+1 ($37.48)
CO ($26.47)
Hero ($29.55)
Dealt to Hero Q♠ 9♣
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.90, fold, BB calls $0.60
FLOP ($1.95) 8♠ 6♥ K♠
BB checks, Hero bets $1.35, BB calls $1.35
TURN ($4.65) 8♠ 6♥ K♠ 2♠
BB checks, Hero bets $3.15, BB calls $3.15
RIVER ($10.95) 8♠ 6♥ K♠ 2♠ 3♥
BB checks, Hero bets $7.25
At the time I was thinking that cbet is ok, cause he folds to cbets quite a bit, when called, his range is still quite wide with some Kx, 8x,6x, other pairs, Fd's and straightdraws and even strong Ax hands cause I've seen that before.
On the turn I expect him to fold some part of this range and also to continues with all the one spade fd's Kx, 8x, and 99-JJ and also I turn some additional equity with my Qs. I've seen him raise turns when he's improved so Im not to worried about him having flush here.
The river is a blank so I expect him to have missed with all the F'd + now he should fold all the weaker hands and I expect calls only from Kx hands.
