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nl20 QQ vs cold4bshove

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HitThe1Out
Joined: 07.01.2011

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
SB ($18.93)
BB ($7.28)
UTG ($21.15)
UTG+1 ($22.92)
CO ($20.67)
Hero ($20)

Dealt to Hero Q♦ Q♠

UTG raises to $0.60, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.75, SB raises to $18.93 (AI), fold, HERO?

Only 34 hands with villain, 24/24/25.

What shall we do when opponent is unknown? Is this +ev call if we include rake on calculations?


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3 replies
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello HitThe1Out,

As long he doesn't even have a full stack I guess it's a difficult situation. Cause those loose opponents which indicates his stack might even ship with just TT/JJ. Although that's true that it's a coin for us anyways, cause I doubt that you going to see a lot worse than JJ+/AK here. Or do you have any other information?

       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    52.63%  51.05%   1.58% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
UTG+1  47.37%  45.79%   1.58% { QdQs }

We need ~45% equity, which includes rake. So practically if we exclude rake it's pretty much break-even. We have to consider him shipping with worse.

Best Regards.


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This is AK sooooooooo often IME


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HitThe1Out Topic starter
HitThe1Out
Joined: 07.01.2011

I thought it a bit too in that spot and just couldn't find it +ev call since I didn't have any maniac reads on that spot. I thought there's no TT(JJ)/AQ in his range and we also block AQ.

I folded, if I had had some specific knowledge that he/she might have some sort of rags in his/her range I would've called ofc.

Thx :)


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