Pre: Villain is obviously LAG, should I just 4b/broke here? Didn't like stacking off pre for 100bb this light. Is this something I'm going to have to get used to doing SH?
Flop: Raise/broke seems overplayed, can villain call with worse here? Raise/fold is way too spewy IMO given his c-bet sizing. Going for a pot control line and folding to further aggression seemed the best way to me at the time.
villain's cbet stat was 100% (18/18)
If I enter villain's 3b stat in the equilator it would be:
66+,A7s+,A5s,K9s+,Q9s+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo
plus some suited connectors or something : 67s+
and I would assume he's going to c-bet almost all, if not all of this range.
Turn: Doesnt change much unless villain has 3b 33, so when moves all-in on the turn I tend to think it is not a bluff, plus my hand is a bluff catcher.
if we add some TP and suited connectors in his turn range then I am still behind in terms of equity:
Spoiler
Board: 5♦9♠7♥ 3♥
Equity Win Tie
UTG 58.61% 57.81% 0.81% { JJ+, 66, TdTc, 9d9h, 9d9c, 9h9c, 7d7s, 7d7c, 7s7c, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, Ad9d, Ah9h, Ac9c, Kd9d, Kh9h, Kc9c, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qc9c, Td9d, Tc9c, Ah8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9c8c, 7d6d, 7s6s, 7c6c, Ah5h }
UTG+1 41.39% 40.58% 0.81% { ThTs }
If I take those hands out, then I think it is a clear fold:
Spoiler
FONT=courier new]
Board: 5♦9♠7♥ 3♥
Equity Win Tie
UTG 64.06% 63.13% 0.93% { JJ+, 66, TdTc, 9d9h, 9d9c, 9h9c, 7d7s, 7d7c, 7s7c, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, Ad9d, Ah9h, Ac9c, Kd9d, Kh9h, Kc9c, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qc9c, Ah8h, Ah5h }
UTG+1 35.94% 35.02% 0.93% { ThTs }
Maths:
Also, what is the correct E* calc here?
would it be: 3.07/(5.41+3.07) = E* x 100
or
3.07/5.41 = E* x 100
888 Poker - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: $4.61
Hero (BTN): $10.42
SB: $0.79
BB: $4.21 43/20/4/16/34/164
UTG: $4.43
MP: $1.05
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04, MP posts DB $0.04
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.10) Hero has T♠ T♥
fold, MP checks, fold, Hero raises to $0.20, fold, BB raises to $0.36, fold, Hero calls $0.16
Flop: ($0.78, 2 players) 5♦ 9♠ 7♥
BB bets $0.78, Hero calls $0.78
Turn: ($2.34, 2 players) 3♥
BB bets $3.07, fold
BB wins $2.23
Not really worth Calling and hoping that you get away vs such opponents.