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NL4 FR KTo

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JohnDoe1313
Joined: 04.01.2011

Party, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP2: $4.73 (118.3 bb)
UTG+2: $1.54 (38.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $1.60 (40 bb)
CO: $4 (100 bb)
SB: $4 (100 bb)
MP1: $5.51 (137.8 bb)
MP3: $4.06 (101.5 bb)
BB: $11.31 (282.8 bb) - VPIP: 33, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 24

Preflop: Hero is BTN with T K
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, SB folds, BB calls $0.08

Flop: ($0.26) 8 T Q (2 players)
BB bets $0.04, Hero raises to $0.27, BB calls $0.23

Turn: ($0.80) Q (2 players)
BB bets $0.38, Hero raises to $1.21 and is all-in, BB folds

Results: $1.56 pot ($0.07 rake)

Hey. I think BB wouldn't mindonk many made hands, so he probably has a weak range. I raise for value, I expect to get call with:

Board: T♦8♦Q♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
SB     39.04%  38.30%   0.74% { 99, JTs, T9s, AdJd, KdJd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Jd9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Kd7d, Qd7d, 9d7d, Ad6d, Qd6d, 7d6d, Ad5d, Qd5d, 6d5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, JTo, T9o }
BB     60.96%  60.21%   0.74% { KdTc }

His turn halfpot donk seems weak to me, like he wants to see cheaply another community card. I don't think there are many Qx in his range, so I push for value from all the weaker hands with 68% equity. Is my analysis good or far from it? Thanks


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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Hey,

I would raise $0.30-0.35 on the Flop just for value.
Now when he calls I still think he can have draws but also Qx in his range, not many since the stronger ones would probably do something else than donk/call

Anyways this is really situational because if he only has draws this becomes an autoshove. If he indeed has some Qx in his range, you have to call and bluffcatch basically on blanks

Mostly when you play, you have a pretty good idea how donky he can be so I can't give you a static answer here but I think it explains adequately what I mean

best regards,
Gerv


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