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NL10 AKo 3bet a fish called by a Reg

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BAMLara
Joined: 18.09.2007
Oldschool Grinder

Hi, on this hand i was 3betting a fish who was 4 betting very light but instead i got call by bb regular his stats are:
Vpip 13 PFR 12 AF 5 WTSD 27

I put him on AA-KK (if he was hoping for the fish to 4bet) or small pockets pairs, since i wasn't showing any aggression, i assume he was going to bet his missed set, first i was just going to call his river bet, but since the pot was so big and because i don't think he put much attention on players stacks i decided to shove.

iPoker - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: $3.43
Hero (CO): $4.64
BTN: $12.44
SB: $4.11
BB: $10.15
UTG: $3.50
UTG+1: $10.00
MP: $10.50

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10, UTG+1 posts DB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.25) Hero has K♠ A♣

UTG calls $0.10, UTG+1 checks, MP raises to $0.60, fold, Hero raises to $1.70, fold, fold, BB calls $1.60, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($4.25, 2 players) 8♣ 9♠ 3♥
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($4.25, 2 players) K♦
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($4.25, 2 players) 8♠
BB bets $2.12, Hero raises to $2.94, BB calls $0.82

Regards,

BAM


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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008
Elite Grinder

Hey bamlara,
We have to shove the Flop here versus this player. Mathematically speaking we shove $2.9 into a pot of $4.25 so without any equity we need him to fold 2.9/(2.9+4.25) = 40%

But since we have 6 outs, he needs to fold even less to be profitable here. Also we do not check back with JJ+ so it is pretty obvious for him what you have right now

Best regards,
Gerv


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