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Value bet or not?

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Villain is playing 85/31 over 30 hands not a big sample but enough to know he is a whale. Should I be betting the river here? If so how much and can I call a shove? It seems to me that a J of spades is one of the worst river cards to continue.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
SB ($62.54)
BB ($20)
UTG ($16.25)
Hero ($33.53)
BTN ($17.72)

Dealt to Hero K♣ K♠

fold, Hero raises to $0.70, fold, SB calls $0.60, fold

FLOP ($1.60) 6♠ 9♣ Q♠

SB bets $0.20, Hero raises to $1.65, SB calls $1.45

TURN ($4.90) 6♠ 9♣ Q♠ 3♦

SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4

RIVER ($12.90) 6♠ 9♣ Q♠ 3♦ J♠

SB checks, Hero checks

SB shows 9♥ 7♠
(Pre 17%, Flop 20.6%, Turn 11.4%)

Hero shows K♣ K♠
(Pre 83%, Flop 79.4%, Turn 88.6%)

Hero wins $12.26


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1 reply
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello Rogbey,

I like your play here, especially the sizes are very good picked. Nice hand! Not many worse hands pay you on the river anyways.

Best Regards.


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