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33$ 5mx K7 line vs a reg

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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $30(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,440)
Hero ($1,470)
UTG ($1,525)
CO ($1,605)
BTN ($1,460)

Dealt to Hero K♠ 7♥

fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $90, Hero calls $60

FLOP ($180) T♠ 6♣ K♥

SB checks, Hero checks

TURN ($180) T♠ 6♣ K♥ 5♦

SB bets $120, Hero calls $120

RIVER ($420) T♠ 6♣ K♥ 5♦ 7♦

SB bets $360, Hero calls $360

Spoiler

SB shows 5♠ 5♥ (Pre 55%, Flop 8.8%, Turn 100.0%) Hero shows K♠ 7♥ (Pre 45%, Flop 91.2%, Turn 0.0%) SB wins $1,140

Villain is somewhat ok reg. On the flop, I think he's is either pot controlling with Tx or weakish Kx, c/f far too often and maybe, but less likely c/r some nutted hands.

Therefore I think checking on the flop is best as I can't get 3 streets of value vs his Tx hands, some of his Kx might have me beat, I might get him to try bluff me off with his c/f range on the flop or squeeze a call later on if he spikes a pair on turn/river.

When I saw him betting so big on turn/river though I put him on some faked up set combo. Can I ever fold here?

Also, what do you think about his sizing with his hand? I guess he puts me on Tx or Kx, right? So will that justify his big bets?


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3 replies
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

steal stat? quite loose defend esp vs 3x... K7s, maybe? Honestly we are not gonna flop big often so we have to outplay him post. Whether we can do this depends on many factors.

I prolly just 3b pre if he's getting outta line and call with a more playable range.

Flop - good, its dry.
Turn - good.
Riv - good.

Can't evr fold rivered 2p vs this action. But we don't have quite enough for raise as he's either bluffing or got us beat, mostly, with these sizings. If he bet 200, I might make a small raise.

Think his line is good. Once you call turn you have something. Since he reps nothing, he may as well make you pay big with your Tx/Kx/ A high. He doesn't have to worry about value towning himself. If you fold, you had nothing. BvB he should expect you to bluffcatch wider than normal, so bigger is better.


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Thanks, Tim! SB steal-47%.

3betting pre also seems good. Didn't think of that ingame. I don't mind defending wider range vs these guys. It's gonna be super hard imo for him to play profitable vs a reg this deep OOP. K7o probably the very bottom of my calling range.


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i like the defend. 3b is also an option.

think flop is pretty std.

turn riv also standard, i would call even without the 2 pair. he's probably on level 2, he knows your flop check back is weak SD value so hes trying to barrel you off with big sizings.

his size is nicely merged, just a cooler


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