Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $30(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,440)
Hero ($1,470)
UTG ($1,525)
CO ($1,605)
BTN ($1,460)
Dealt to Hero K♠ 7♥
fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $90, Hero calls $60
FLOP ($180) T♠ 6♣ K♥
SB checks, Hero checks
TURN ($180) T♠ 6♣ K♥ 5♦
SB bets $120, Hero calls $120
RIVER ($420) T♠ 6♣ K♥ 5♦ 7♦
SB bets $360, Hero calls $360
Spoiler
SB shows 5♠ 5♥ (Pre 55%, Flop 8.8%, Turn 100.0%) Hero shows K♠ 7♥ (Pre 45%, Flop 91.2%, Turn 0.0%) SB wins $1,140
Villain is somewhat ok reg. On the flop, I think he's is either pot controlling with Tx or weakish Kx, c/f far too often and maybe, but less likely c/r some nutted hands.
Therefore I think checking on the flop is best as I can't get 3 streets of value vs his Tx hands, some of his Kx might have me beat, I might get him to try bluff me off with his c/f range on the flop or squeeze a call later on if he spikes a pair on turn/river.
When I saw him betting so big on turn/river though I put him on some faked up set combo. Can I ever fold here?
Also, what do you think about his sizing with his hand? I guess he puts me on Tx or Kx, right? So will that justify his big bets?