Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

NL100 QTo

3 Posts
3 Users
0 Reactions
33 Views
axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($7.43)
BB ($189)
UTG ($134)
UTG+1 ($110)
Hero ($100)
BTN ($22)

Dealt to Hero Q♦ T♣

fold, fold, Hero raises to $3, fold, fold, BB calls $2

FLOP ($6.50) 2♥ T♠ Q♠

BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB raises to $12, Hero calls $8

TURN ($30.50) 2♥ T♠ Q♠ K♠

BB bets $20.50, Hero folds

BB wins $28.48

villain: 21/17 - 11% raise cbet flop (18) - 950 hands

3bet flop?

My reasoning for just calling was basically that I thought he would have a lot of draws here which he would be likely to barrel OTT so I thought that it would be a good idea to call flop and ship a blank turn.

But there are however also a lot of cards which I don't want to see OTT so maybe it is better to 3bet the flop after all?

As played, are you callin the turn here ever? J9s gets there as well as all the FDs so I don't beat much besides KJ basically.

If you agree with the fold, what if turn was just a lower spade (say 5s)? Would you call then, and if so what would your thoughtprocess and decision be OTR if you faced another bet on a brick?


Reply
Quote
2 replies
jachis
Joined: 07.04.2008

Im not sure villain even defends J9s there but that doesnt change much. There are very few strong combo draws villain can have here AJs, KJs and maybe J9s, he could also raise KQ and AQ if he doesnt 3bet those and also 22 and rarely TT.

When you put these ranges in equilab and run the turn scenario anyliser, you see that actually most of the cards are good not bad. A, K, J are all bad, spades are the worst. But against all the other cards your equity is ok.

Also 10% raise cbet seems on the lower side, so he might even not be raising TP hands for value. Just play with the ranges and check out yourself how turn cards change your equity.


Reply
Quote

Originally posted by jachis
Im not sure villain even defends J9s there but that doesnt change much. There are very few strong combo draws villain can have here AJs, KJs and maybe J9s, he could also raise KQ and AQ if he doesnt 3bet those and also 22 and rarely TT.

When you put these ranges in equilab and run the turn scenario anyliser, you see that actually most of the cards are good not bad. A, K, J are all bad, spades are the worst. But against all the other cards your equity is ok.

Also 10% raise cbet seems on the lower side, so he might even not be raising TP hands for value. Just play with the ranges and check out yourself how turn cards change your equity.

Really good post.

Instinctively i thought your line was decent. This obviously nut low turn ccard.


Reply
Quote
Share: