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99 on bubble

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Rammie
Joined: 13.02.2011

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer

BB is 21vip 16vip 5.0AF only 35 hands

SB ($2,630)
BB ($3,470)
Hero ($4,355)
BTN ($4,545)

Dealt to Hero 9♥ 9♣

Hero raises to $425, fold, fold, BB calls $225

FLOP ($1,030) 8♠ Q♥ 3♠

BB bets $400, Hero calls $400

TURN ($1,830) 8♠ Q♥ 3♠ 7♦

BB bets $1,830, Hero raises to $3,510 (AI), BB calls $795 (AI)

RIVER ($7,080) 8♠ Q♥ 3♠ 7♦ 7♠

BB shows K♦ 7♣
(Pre 28%, Flop 12.7%, Turn 11.4%)

Hero shows 9♥ 9♣
(Pre 72%, Flop 87.3%, Turn 88.6%)

BB wins $7,080

Just felt his line made no sense and so decided to call, probably a bad move on the bubble but hey maybe im being results orientated :P

P.S he apologised in chat afterwards :f_cry:


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2 replies
Orion801
Joined: 20.03.2012

Can't see anything wrong with the pre-flop play at all.

On the flop itself I'd have been tempted to raise his donkey bet if you think it's likely a bluff (which in this case it was), although that's largely dependent upon any reads you have of him as different players reasons for donkey bets vary a lot.

The turn play is fairly risky, especially for the bubble, as he may have hit the Q, but if you're confident in your reads on him then the shove was a good call and it's a shame you had such bad luck with the river.

Without a lot of confidence in my reads on a player I would have been tempted to give this hand up either on the flop or turn as you're in the bubble.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

You should never fold the flop here. If you feel he's very bluffy you can get it in on the turn but the default should be to fold.


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