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[Closed] NL25 - Fold set with JJ on flop !?!?!?!

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Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $23.30
BTN: $25.75
SB: $8.40
BB: $22.80
UTG: $12.50
UTG+1: $9
UTG+2: $43.20
MP1: $67.10
Hero (MP2): $26.15

Pre-Flop: J♦ J♥ dealt to Hero (MP2)
2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, SB calls $1.15, BB calls $1, UTG+2 folds

Flop: ($4) Q♣ J♣ T♣ (3 Players)
SB checks, BB bets $4, Hero folds, SB calls $4

Turn: ($12) Q♠ (2 Players)
SB checks, BB bets $4.25, SB calls $3.15 and is All-In

River: ($18.30) T♥ (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

BB is 36/10/5.8
SB is 25/0/0

I figured I'm probly no more than 60% in best case senario and might be beat already. Should I still shove, since I have a good redraw?


2 replies
nttflox
Joined: 25.10.2007

Raise flop, go broke. You are more often against a draw than a made hand, so protect and extract value.


Fold is imo too weak. You still have 7 outs to improve on the turn and if he flopped flush or straight he would pay you off.
I was at that spot one mount ago and I played call flop, check behind on the turn and then called overbet on the river:) And most of the people said that I was playing wrong, since there is a lot of worse hands that would bet that way.
I think it is always your decision if you want to play big pot with your set on very coordinated board or not, but I would suggest at least call on the flop and then re-evaluate on the turn. They would check a lot or making smaller bets, then you can decide if you want fold/raise or call.