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6max STT - river 2ndpair vs potdonkbet.

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Guthans
Joined: 16.12.2009
Oldschool Grinder

Alright. So obviously I flop a monster draw and it's pretty straight forward until I miss the draws on the river and this bad reg(he is a multitabler but with obvious leaks) puts out the donkbet pot. To me it looks like he spazzed out with a busted draw of his own. It seems very unlikely that he's been calling two streets with either a flopped set of threes, since that is the only hand he wouldnt raise up pre, and even if he had like 7s or 10s here he should be reraising flop/turn OOP, right?

So, the question, should I be calling or just sigh/fold?

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$1.29+$0.21

Stacks:
UTG Queen224 (1,475)
UTG+1 candomonte (1,075)
CO ziomek1985 (1,245)
BTN andiboij (470)
SB Timweard (2,520)
BB Guthan (2,215)

Blinds: 10/20

Pre-Flop: (30, 6 players) Guthan is BB 8♠ 9♠
Queen224 calls 20, 1 fold, ziomek1985 calls 20, 1 fold, Timweard calls 10, Guthan checks

Flop: 10:spade: 7♠ 3♦ (80, 4 players)
Timweard checks, Guthan bets 60, 2 folds, Timweard calls 60

Turn: 9♦ (200, 2 players)
Timweard checks, Guthan bets 126, Timweard calls 126

River: 3♥ (452, 2 players)
Timweard bets 452, Guthan ?

Spoiler

Final Pot: 452

Timweard wins 904 (net +246)

Guthan lost 206
Queen224 lost 20
ziomek1985 lost 20


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2 replies
Lasso
Joined: 26.06.2006
Oldschool Grinder

ur thoughts r definately right. this looks really weird on the river. ure blocking every reasonable draw that beats u on the river. and i dont think he has any sets in his range on the river too.

problem is u said he is like a bad reg and its a 1.50$ sng. if this was a 3.50$ sng i wud definately consider to call the river. the only hand that really makes sense in this spot is a3 in spades. preflop he completes in the small blind with a suited ace. on the flop + turn he c/c for odds and outs. on the river he improved to trips which is a strong hand on this board so he leads with a ps bet. that definately makes sense to me. since he got the fd he most likely sees made hands in ur range hes now valuebetting against. so i think u can pretty much read him on a3s, if hes really bad he sometimes has k3s.


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akrammon
Joined: 17.05.2009
Elite Grinder

Hey!

Even tho your thoughts are mostly correct, I wouldn't suggest calling the river. The price is very high and bad players take this line very very often with monsters for some reason when they didnt get enough value of their hand. They just put out a big bet on the river to make up for the equity they lost by not betting/raising previous streets.

I'd just fold.

The hand is well played btw, nice lead on flop and turn!

Regards,
akrammon


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