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Nl 200 Aj

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Pacific
SB ($201)
BB ($203)
UTG ($252)
Hero ($372)
BTN ($268)

Dealt to Hero A♣ J♥

fold, Hero raises to $5.25, fold, SB raises to $18, fold, Hero calls $12.75

FLOP ($38) 2♠ T♣ 5♣

SB bets $19, Hero folds

SB wins $36.10

Villain is 23/19/7. His 3bet to cutoff is 10% and 3bet from SB is 10%

On this kind of flop I often don't know what to do. Cbets 82% in 3b pots and in normal pots does second barrel 62% and third barrel 46% which is decently aggressive.
He folds cbets to raises 69% (13) in normal pots tho.
Maybe I could just raise flop and hope that he levels himself into thinking I could do this with QT+ to induce him and make him fold (I have never made that kind of play against him).


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getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

I prefer floating. We have a couple of bd draws, we really can't fold here. I hate raising in 3bet pots in general. I think floating is much better and we can shove many turns if he's 2barreling a lot.


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Agree with getdotacom.
Esp vs aggro opponents delaying the action till the turn is oftentimes much more +EV because they're putting so much dead money out there. Probably the best cards to shove are K, Q and clubs.

By raising the flop you oftentimes risk getting reshoved by smth like AK/AQ or, if the board was T62, hands like 98s and 87s (gutshots).

Btw I think folding the flop isn't horrible because even though we need only 25% equity it's really close vs a top 8.5% range (since he 3bets 10% he'd cbet 85% to get this range):

Board: 3♥T♣5♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
CO     26.72%  21.00%   5.72% { AcJh }
SB     73.28%  67.56%   5.72% { 77+, ATs+, KQs, KTs, QTs, AJo+ }

But at the same time given we do get some hands to fold and might have some implied odds on later streets it's very close and I tend towards calling - if we just fold here our call preflop is quite questionable given this is one of the better boards for us.


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