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Nl10 Fr Qq

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JohnDoe1313
Joined: 04.01.2011

Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP1: $6.47 (64.7 bb)
BTN: $3.80 (38 bb)
SB: $12.68 (126.8 bb)
Hero (CO): $4.40 (44 bb)
MP2: $16.96 (169.6 bb)
MP3: $9.13 (91.3 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $5.93 (59.3 bb) - VPIP: 45, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 20

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q Q
UTG+2 calls $0.10, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 3 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.15) J T J (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $0.30, Hero raises to $1.40, UTG+2 raises to $5.30, Hero calls $2.50 and is all-in

Turn: ($8.95) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($8.95) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$8.95 pot ($0.44 rake)
Final Board: J T J 9 6
Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-$4.40 net)
UTG+2 showed K K and won $8.51 ($4.11 net)

I need 29% of equity to call 3bet, but looking at his range he will probably show me Jx more often that Tx, flushdraw, so maybe fold is better? ATs could play like that from time to time. I'm in doubt about QTs, KTs. Thanks


Board: J♦T♦J♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
SB     68.23%  67.75%   0.48% { TT, ATs, KJs-KTs, QTs+, JTs, KJo, QJo, JTo }
BB     31.77%  31.28%   0.48% { QdQh }


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2 replies
Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Hey,

I don't like your range estimation as it is too general. You think he bet/shoves KT on this board?

You also didn't considered some sort of combo draw in the form of 8:d9:d & A:dK:d in the rare occassion

I think you are flipping or way behind here with the way behind feature being always present as he will always bet/shove Jx here

I think I will raise/fold here unless I know he is bet/shove 1 overcard + flushdraw a lot

Best regards,
Gerv


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JohnDoe1313 Topic starter
JohnDoe1313
Joined: 04.01.2011

Actually I took it backwards. That's not my range estimation, that's the range against which I can call. Then I philosophized whether he could play those hands like that. I don't think he shoves KT, QT either so as you said raise/fold is the best line unless I collect more info about his tendencies. Thanks G :f_thumbsup:


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