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AQs

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Avataren
Joined: 28.04.2010

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.20 Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is BB with A Q
UTG folds, MP raises, CO folds, BTN 3-bets, SB folds, Hero calls, MP caps, BTN calls, Hero calls

Flop: (12.5 SB) T 5 Q (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets, BTN calls, Hero raises, MP 3-bets, BTN calls, Hero calls

Turn: (10.8 BB) J (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets, BTN calls, Hero calls

River: (13.8 BB) J (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets, BTN calls, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

15.8 BB pot (0.5 BB rake)
Final Board: T 5 Q J J
MP showed Q Q and won 15.2 BB (9.7 BB net)
BTN mucked J K and lost (-5.5 BB net)
Hero mucked A Q and lost (-4.5 BB net)

BTN: 25/19/14.1/217hands
MP: 34/22/15.6/165hands

both what i consider LAGs at these stakes. they seem decent. which their stats also indicate right ? I hated this hand but yeah just a bad hand. I already considered folding the turn. took really long time before i decided to call on river i took my time but came to the conclusion that the 3b on the flop meant my hand was no good .. well what came to my mind when MP does it against BTN and me (I was 35/28 ish 3b: 11)

so he knew i at least was thinking aswell and same with the BTN. so i guess he knew he was best and just wanted money in. I dont see a bluff 3b in this spot more likely AA - KK- QQ - TT. i seriously thought that his range when he 3b only consisted of these hands. but on the turn the pot was so big that i thought it be okay to call and unless the Q or the K and that maybe not even a good card for me with the KK in what i thought was his range came on river it is a fold. did i overplay it in any way or? did i just end up in a bad spot ?


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2 replies

I would cap the flop 3 ways. Lots of draws, we're 3 handed, I think we have greater than average equity. We also don't want to give them the option to take a free card. its not a great spot given the preflop aggressors 3-bet, but I think capping is going to be slightly better.

Before we decide whether or not to show this down we need to consider what MP is likely to do with AQo and KQo preflop... BUT

If we're really that confident about our river fold then we should fold the turn because we have less than 3 outs on the turn against the range of hands which take this line and have us beat.

Even heads up against TT, QQ+, AK:heart: we cannot call the turn. We're 3-handed with many draws present.

On this occasion i think if we're correct in calling the turn we're correct in showing this down.

We only need to win 6% of the time to show a profit.

edit: I also cap preflop in this situation.


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

Though Draws are possible it's actually not a cap on the Flop because we're behind against MP's entire Range unless he's got AJ AK :heart: but even then we have just a flip. Button won't fold to a cap. In case you could kick BU and there's a small chance to be still ahead against a few hands out of Mp's Range i like capping but we beat nothing. He' a tag from his stats and the only hand we beat is JJ but everything else he capped preflop with has got AQ crushed. TT QQ KK AA. After Mp3's 3bet it's just a calldown and you can hope for overplayed JJ AQ or KQs. Given the boardprogess you actually don't beat any hand. With the Read that mp is solid i like your fold.


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