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NL5 TPTK vs overbetting LAG

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diablik7
Joined: 11.06.2008

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

MP+1: $14.21
CO: $16.41
BTN: $5.00
SB: $10.35
BB: $5.00
UTG: $11.50
Hero (UTG+1): $8.85
MP: $6.58

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has A♦ K♠

fold, Hero raises to $0.18, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.16, fold

SB: 40 hands, VPIP 35, PFR 23
Aggression on flop: 83% (9/11), quite good sample I think, I saw him overbetting few times.

He's actually the fish of this table so I'm happy with this call.
I saw him calling big push with gutshot on turn few hands earlier. Fortunately he hit it ;)

Flop: ($0.41, 2 players) K♣ 2♣ 9♦
SB bets $1.05, Hero calls $1.05

I guess that most of his range here are pairs (he could have all of the Kxs, some Kxo + a lot of 9) which I beat. The only hands which beat me are sets (99, 22) and K9. He could have K2s. I think he would 2nd barrel enough (probably overbet too) to make simple call profitable.

Should I raise to protect my hand from FD? I thought that this could kill the action.

Turn: ($2.51, 2 players) 4♥
SB bets $2.70, Hero ?

I think I'm still ahead. I analyzed it with Equilab and I put him on range:

sets (99, 44, 22)
K2s - KQs
K9o - KQo
Q :club:9 :club:, J :club:9 :club:, T :club:9 :club:, 9 :club: 8 :club:, 5 :club: 4 :club:

I've got nearly 70% against this range.

If I shove he needs 30% equity to call so I think he's commited.

Is my range estimation good? Does he have less top pairs?


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3 replies
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello diablik7,

I'd most likely keep his range wide on the flop and call and also scatter the variance and ship the turn to protect. :)

Best Regards.


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diablik7
Joined: 11.06.2008

Thanks,

That's what i did. He showed K4o. I won.


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Originally posted by diablik7
Thanks,

That's what i did. He showed K4o. I won.

Well done, guess got lucky on the river then. :f_biggrin:


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