PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
MP+1: $14.21
CO: $16.41
BTN: $5.00
SB: $10.35
BB: $5.00
UTG: $11.50
Hero (UTG+1): $8.85
MP: $6.58
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has A♦ K♠
fold, Hero raises to $0.18, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.16, fold
SB: 40 hands, VPIP 35, PFR 23
Aggression on flop: 83% (9/11), quite good sample I think, I saw him overbetting few times.
He's actually the fish of this table so I'm happy with this call.
I saw him calling big push with gutshot on turn few hands earlier. Fortunately he hit it
Flop: ($0.41, 2 players) K♣ 2♣ 9♦
SB bets $1.05, Hero calls $1.05
I guess that most of his range here are pairs (he could have all of the Kxs, some Kxo + a lot of 9) which I beat. The only hands which beat me are sets (99, 22) and K9. He could have K2s. I think he would 2nd barrel enough (probably overbet too) to make simple call profitable.
Should I raise to protect my hand from FD? I thought that this could kill the action.
Turn: ($2.51, 2 players) 4♥
SB bets $2.70, Hero ?
I think I'm still ahead. I analyzed it with Equilab and I put him on range:
sets (99, 44, 22)
K2s - KQs
K9o - KQo
Q :club:9 :club:, J :club:9 :club:, T :club:9 :club:, 9
8 :club:, 5
4 ![]()
I've got nearly 70% against this range.
If I shove he needs 30% equity to call so I think he's commited.
Is my range estimation good? Does he have less top pairs?