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nl100 44, fold bottom set?

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urmo1
Joined: 02.03.2008
BlackMember

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1786623
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $48.26
BB: $100.00
UTG: $129.42
CO: $128.20
Hero (BTN): $187.62

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with 4♦ 4♣
1 fold, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 1 fold, BB calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) 4♥ 8♣ T♠ (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $5.99, Hero calls $5.99, BB raises to $17, CO folds, Hero calls $11.01

Turn: ($49.49) 5♥ (2 players)
BB bets $24, Hero ..

CO was 20/16, Fcbet 72%, fold cbet to raise 50%, 3k hands
BB was 19/16, call open BB 10% (3bet BB 8%), raise cbet 14% and aff freq by street: 52%, 34%, 24%, 9k hands. no relevant reads to this hand.


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2 replies
Coach
pleno1
Joined: 19.11.2010
Elite Grinder

Hey,

I would just keep calling, it seems like a good spot for the BB to raise as the CO will struggle to continue with overpairs whilst our range looks weak (drawy/bad bluffcatchers) so he can put pressure on us by the turn and river with hands that may not be strong enough to call flop but were getting good odds to call pre flop (bluffcatchers/2nd pair/top pair)

I think if we shove now we fold out all of the bottom of his range (bluffs/semibluffs) whilst the top of his range are sets (he would 3bet overpairs pre flop as nice squeeze spot. This means on the flop/turn he has a VERY POLARISED RANGE that would be sets/bluffs and he isn't value raising hands that 44 beat such as j10/q10 as it is overrepping his hand.

For all of the above it means that by the river I would still be there clicking the left button (call option)


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2 combos of T8s 3 combos of 88, I expect him to squeeze TT almost always.

Looks like we have to close our eyes and keep clicking call


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