Preflop: A6s too wide from the CO? I figured it should play well against BB's calling range, or should I just play tighter against a loose player who doesnt fold very often postflop?
888 Poker - $0.06 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: $6.00
BB: $9.22 48/23/3/3/25/81 - LAG
UTG: $5.61
MP: $5.99
Hero (CO): $8.76
BTN: $6.66
SB posts SB $0.03, BB posts BB $0.06
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.09) Hero has 6♦ A♦
fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.18, fold, fold, BB calls $0.12
Flop: ($0.39, 2 players) 3♦ 5♠ 2♦
BB bets $0.45, Hero calls $0.45
Flop: raise/call vs the DB? I chose not to 3b due to the fact that I don't think he fold's very often. Although in hind sight his bet sizing would indicate a hand looking to protect, so he might b/f and if he does 3b I can just go broke profitably?
Also I think that since he is looking to protect a hand that I have less implied odds if I do hit my hand, so it might be better to play it more aggressively?
I would expect him to have: OESD's weaker FD's, 5x, 66-TT and 2pr+ here
Turn: ($1.29, 2 players) A♣
BB bets $1.29, Hero calls $1.29
Turn: I think villian is still capable of playing b/f with hands that I beat here. Namely weaker FD's and SD's, 66-TT. Obviously he can have any AX which has me beat and 2pr+
I don't think raising is now an option because I would certainly turn my hand into a bluff, as I am not sure he is capable of playing bet/broke here with worse.
With 12 clean outs I need 2.8:1 to make a call profitable and I am only getting 2:1 on the turn. Therefore I need to be getting the correct implied odds to make calling profitable. So I would roughly a 1/2 pot bet on the river if I complete my draw ($1.93) which I think against such an opponent is easily possible.
River: ($3.87, 2 players) 6♠
BB bets $3.87, Hero calls $3.87
River: The only reason that I call here is because I still think that I can beat some of his range that he value bets, i.e missed draws, any AX except A4. Additionally, I only need 33% equity.
The question is: even though villain is known to be aggressive, would he still value bet weaker 2pr combo's on the river or would he even bluff. I didn't have a big enough sample of stats for his river betting to make an informed decision here.
Spoiler
BB shows K♦ 4♣ (Straight, Six High) (Pre 35%, Flop 28%, Turn 77%)
Hero mucks 6♦ A♦ (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes) (Pre 65%, Flop 72%, Turn 23%)
BB wins $10.93