nl2 hero KJs

Hello MeAmor22,

Rather CB yourself cause you can't Call there if someone Bets to you cause you wont have the implied odds. And vs the min-raise it's also marginal to Call while you might start to overplay even though when a flush hits. We going to need at least 50 cents from him, do you think we can get it?

Best Regards.

how did you obtain 50c ?

Pot 0.93 0.33 0.2 0.4
To Call 0.2

Odds 4.65
Odds % 0.22

Odds for Us 5
Need 0.35
Need $ 0.07

ty

Hi,

I'm not sure to get it either. It seemed to me a clear call so I clearly have a leak I'm gonna develop a bit to show my way of thinking. Could someone give a look please?
We have 6 outs. Out of 46 cards, it makes 40-6. More or less 7.1. So 13-14% (roughly?).
On a pot of .93, we can call .12 cents. So the .08 left needs to be earned in implied odd. To make it, when we it, we need to make it 7 times bigger (correct me if I'm wrong please). So .56 $ to make when we hit.

A half pot bet turn + 1/3 river gives roughly .75$. So we need to be called (56/75) % of the time of such bet to be break even. In other terms Villain needs to call our bets on both streets to call more than 2/3 of the time such small bet to be only break even.
Since it's quite a lot, calling OOP such a board is not EV+ anymore.

On the other way, the raise makes still only 22% of the pot. It's really not much.

Could someone enlight me?

Originally posted by MeAmor22
how did you obtain 50c ?

Pot 0.93 0.33 0.2 0.4
To Call 0.2

Odds 4.65
Odds % 0.22

Odds for Us 5
Need 0.35
Need $ 0.07

ty

Cause you have discarded outs?