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60$ 9max bubble BvB AK induce

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I talked of this hand with one fellow who plays high stake games. His opinion was that ICM requires too big equity for SB call here (ICM flaw?) and that SB induce is good play.

I think that even if his induce can be profitable open shove would still show more profit. Thus making induce play questionable. Well maybe it can be explained with balancing reasons so that his raise-call range is bit wider this way.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
SB ($3,905)
Hero ($3,796)
CO ($3,415)
BTN ($2,384)

Dealt to Hero Q♠ Q♦

fold, fold, SB raises to $400, Hero raises to $3,771 (AI), SB calls $3,371

FLOP ($7,642) 6♦ T♦ 3♣

TURN ($7,642) 6♦ T♦ 3♣ 4♥

RIVER ($7,642) 6♦ T♦ 3♣ 4♥ 9♦

SB shows A♣ K♥
(Pre 43%, Flop 23.0%, Turn 13.6%)

Hero shows Q♠ Q♦
(Pre 57%, Flop 77.0%, Turn 86.4%)

Hero wins $7,642


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Equity vs. marginal resteals needed to induce action: 69.36%

the math indicates that he can only induce with JJ+ being this deep on a 9max bubble. however I think there is a good argument to induce with something like AQ+ TT+ for balance purposes against an aggressive regular. You will give up some immediate EV on the hand, because your AK will not have enough equity even against an ATC range to induce as opposed to shoving. But if your induce reduces his future reshoving range significantly (if he sees you making marginal induces) then I would do it.


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