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PLO25 zoom aggro fish bluffcatching

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wnbMG
Joined: 10.04.2011

he donks a lot...

BTN: $46.52 (186.1 bb)
SB: $32.14 (128.6 bb)
BB: $67.47 (269.9 bb)
UTG: $19.39 (77.6 bb)
MP: $62.71 (250.8 bb)
Hero (CO): $60.43 (241.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 A Q Q
UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.10, 3 folds, MP calls $0.85

Flop: ($2.55) 5 T T (2 players)
MP bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

Turn: ($5.05) 7 (2 players)
MP bets $4.25, Hero calls $4.25

River: ($13.55) J (2 players)
MP bets $10.25, Hero calls $10.25

Results:

Spoiler

$34.05 pot ($1.53 rake)
Final Board: 5 T T 7 J
MP showed 2 T J A and won $32.52 ($15.67 net)
Hero mucked 8 A Q Q and lost (-$16.85 net)


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2 replies

I would be a bit worried about the big pots on the turn and river, this doesn't look like a bluff all that much. Do you have any reads on his bet sizing?


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

The problem will calling the flop bet is you have no draw and only 2 outs. If you don't hit these 2 outs then you really have no idea on the turn or river where you are in the hand. Typically you're going to have to fold a later street, even if they both blank, because you don't have enough to justify calling down with.

You're over 240 bets deep and villain isn't an aggro fish IMO. He got his bet sizing great on the flop and turn to rope you in and I don't see how the river is ever a bluff.

I think you need to be folding the turn here, I don't imagine too many people who double barrel with air in this spot.


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