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66 overpair itm

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Luupainaja
Joined: 16.03.2010

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 15 Tournament, 50/100 Blinds (3 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB (t4020)
Hero (BB) (t2885)
Button (t6595)

Hero's M: 19.23

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6, 6
Button bets t200, 1 fold, Hero calls t100

Flop: (t450) 5, 3, 2 (2 players)
Hero bets t250, Button raises to t500, Hero calls t250

Turn: (t1450) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t700, Hero folds

Total pot: t1450

I guess its a get-it-in or fold decision on the flop. Get it in?


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3 replies
savage1981
Joined: 31.05.2010

If we get it in and get called, the best case scenario would be a flip. Bet/calling the flop sucks, because of massive reverse implied odds. Donk/folding makes us exploitable. So check/calling the flop, evaluating the turn seems best.


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Luupainaja
Joined: 16.03.2010

We need 49.87% equity if we shove and get called. So coinflipping is fine here.

We have 50.45% equity vs this range for example:

22+,AQs+,A5s-A3s,K5s-K4s,KdQd,AdJd,KdJd,QdJd,AdTd,QdTd,JdTd,Ad9d,9d8d,AQo+,A5o-A3o,K5o

(basically all pairs, top pairs, some 2nd pairs and FD, and AQ+, and also some straight draws)


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Originally posted by savage1981
If we get it in and get called, the best case scenario would be a flip. Bet/calling the flop sucks, because of massive reverse implied odds. Donk/folding makes us exploitable. So check/calling the flop, evaluating the turn seems best.

This. I don't think villain is getting it in enough with his second pairs on this board so I'm not a huge fan of just putting it in. That said we ARE OOP so flipping with dead money isn't the worst.

Still I think check/calling and playing later streets is slightly better.


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