Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 1828546
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
BTN: $2.00
Hero (SB): $5.00
BB: $5.55 (11/6/0 over 19 hands.)
CO: $6.93
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is SB with K 
7 
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, BB calls $0.10
Flop: ($0.30) 9 3 
8 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.19, BB calls $0.19
Turn: ($0.68) T 
(2 players)
Hero bets $0.43, BB raises to $1.27, Hero calls $0.84.
So, here's my own analysis.
Preflop, I'm betting super-wide here, since he's a nit. I can bet ATC here and be profitable until Villain adjusts.
Flop: Standard c-bet. Nothing to see here.
Turn: Here's where things get interesting. I double barrel, as I've picked up an OESD, and get re-raised. Now, obviously I can't call for pot odds here, but I do have implied odds. When creating a range here, I concluded that the only thing villain is likely to have here is a set. He'd fold 2-pairs like T9, 98 etc. preflop, and 3-bet JJ+ preflop. If he had top pair (AT/KT, I don't see him calling with QT/JT) he would be very unlikely to re-raise the turn. The fact that he's re-raised the turn indicates he's prepared to go broke with his hand. Thus, I only need to call $0.84 to win a big pot if I hit my straight, and I can just check/fold if I miss. Ergo, calling was correct.
However, implied odds and estimating ranges is a difficult concept, so I figured I'd post this hand for evaluation.
What do you think?
