NL10 FR 77 middle pair vs donkbet

Hello,

You block 87 which is a big problem right here. I think the play here is fine because the 5:c is a bit of an annoying card.

If you think he calls looser a lot then you can valueshove the Turn expecting to be ahead most of the time

- Gerv

The problem is I don't know if I get called light on turn. Otherwise I would shove it.

So raising flop should be my preferred option? Also, my plan was folding any river. Would you consider calling specific cards?

Yes you do know, you have 182 hands on him so you can profile him for me.

You only posted his VPIP/PFR/3bet/AF so you cannot profile anything hence you need all his stats to make a correct profiling

Can you profile him?

I don't know what I should be looking for, but I'll try.

Opponent's stats

His coldcall in SB is 67 (8). I assume his range is wide. He doesn't donk a lot and he's passive. He probably won't play like this with any 2, but value hands - pocket pairs, 6x, 9x, sets?. His WTSD indicates that he won't fold any of those hands.

On the other hand, he isn't loose enough to play Q6-96. I think there are more 9x in his range than 6x.

Board: 6♦9♥2♣ 2♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    65.19%  64.87%   0.32% { JJ-22, A9s, A6s, K9s, K6s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 97s+, 86s, 76s, 65s, A9o, A6o, K9o, Q9o, J9o, T9o, 97o+, 76o, 65o }
MP3    34.81%  34.50%   0.32% { 7d7s }

Therefore I should probably give up.

Oh his AFq is 19% and 0.8 AF which is new information you give me here. Then raising the Flop is more or less terrible because I do not think he donks with worse hands

That said I think when you raise him, we just have to go to showdown as he is likely to call you down & nothing changed on the Board

You posted his AF average which is a novice mistake since we obviously play the Flop & the weight of the turn & River AF is the same as the Flop AF i foyu calculate the average

- Gerv