So a thought popped up in my mind. If we look at the most basic math involved, one would say that you should call a bet as long as you are getting the right odds. This is most common when you have some sort of draw. However, with made hands this is obviously different.
Now, I don't have a lot of experience with cash games yet (~5k hands since I started the BSS course), so maybe I'm thinking about this completely the wrong way. That's why I made this topic in the first place, to get some input on this ♦
Anyway, let's say you had 9♠9♦ on a flop of A♥J♠2♣. Pre-flop, we called a $6 raise from the button vs a UTG raiser, and the blinds folded, so there's $15 in the pot (assuming $1/$2 blinds). Now UTG makes a cbet of $10. Considering the odds we're given, we need to win 40% of the time.
If UTG is a fairly loose player, which happens a decent amount of the time and we give him a range consisting of high aces, all pairs and suited connectors, which would be something like 22+,AJs+,KQs,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,AJo+ (which may or may not be true, that's beside the point here), we would have 43.35% equity. Looking at just that, we should call, because we're getting the right odds.
But then again, calling isn't that great of an option. We could already be behind, and any K, Q or T would be a bad card for us on the turn. But on the other hand, we could also be ahead and need to protect our hand. So, since we would be getting the right odds to call, wouldn't it be better to raise?
Of course if UTG is a tighter player (say 66+,AQ+) it's an easy fold, because we will be getting 35% equity at the most if he also has some random suited connectors in his range.
Am I making any sense here? Or am I thinking completely wrong?
So ultimately, my question is, when you are getting the right odds to call, but calling puts you in a bad spot on the next street, isn't it better to raise? Or is folding even an option, despite having the right equity to stay in the hand?
Again, this is just a hypothetical situation.
