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PLO25 bluffcatching on the river

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wnbMG
Joined: 10.04.2011

vs. passive fish
do you like betting the turn?
on the river i was sceptical - i dont really know if he would push with non-nut straight because he's probably not capable of thin valuebets...maybe he just randomly bluffs with busted flush draw on some kind of scary card?

BB: $26.17 (104.7 bb)
UTG: $52.53 (210.1 bb)
MP: $23.06 (92.2 bb)
CO: $31.24 (125 bb)
Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)
SB: $26.99 (108 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A 5 A T
UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, CO folds, Hero raises to $1.10, SB calls $1, BB folds, MP calls $0.85

Flop: ($3.55) Q 6 3 (3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $2.80, SB folds, MP calls $2.80

Turn: ($9.15) 9 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $6, MP calls $6

River: ($21.15) 5 (2 players)
MP bets $13.16, Hero calls $13.16

Results:

Spoiler

$47.47 pot ($2 rake)
Final Board: Q 6 3 9 5
MP showed 3 2 5 4 and won $45.47 ($22.41 net)
Hero mucked A 5 A T and lost (-$23.06 net)


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3 replies
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Good raise preflop but this is a horrible flop for you. It's pretty wet with both a flush draw and a straight wrap showing. I wouldn't bet here and instead just take a free card 3 ways. I don't see any value in betting against a passive fish.

Turn bet was terrible, you priced in opponents with a draw. You should either be betting full pot if you somehow think you are ahead or checking if you think villain could easily have made 2 pair here.

However against a passive fish it's a clear check as he obviously has something to be calling the flop.


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wnbMG
Joined: 10.04.2011

what about river hero call?


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

What do you beat?

board: Qc 6c 3d 9s 5h

As 5s Ad Tc 40.25%
**** 59.75%

Would a passive player bluff this river? You're behind a random hand of 4 cards, so I don't like your chances against a passive players range on the river.


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