Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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SB: $309.58 (619.2 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $50.52 (101 bb)
CO: $55.09 (110.2 bb)
Hero (BTN): $64.26 (128.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with J
J
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, SB raises to $5.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $4.25
Flop: ($13.50) Q
K J
(2 players)
SB bets $9, Hero calls $9
Turn: ($31.50) 5 (2 players)
SB bets $23.50, Hero raises to $49.51, SB calls $26.01
River: ($130.52) 3 (2 players)
Given how aggressive villain is I thought that a call preflop is fine.
On the flop I opted to call as I think that villain is going to continue betting on the turn pretty often, his cbet stat is not high and give this board texture I don't really expect him to cbet light.
Plan is to usually shove over his bet on the turn or to bet myself.
The only bad card for me I think would be a T as I see him cbetting with some combos of AK,AQ, with the A♦ or suited hearts.
I think that on the turn he would stack off with enough combos of 2 pairs to make it profitable vs his 6 combos of sets (don't know if we can discount QQ with that 3bet stat), mainly KQ, KJs.
I don't put 9Ts in his range, ATo might be, ATs usually not.
So, what do you think? Profitable stack off spot?
