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$11 99 postflop cbet 3way

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Party Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50.00/t100.00 Blinds - 10 players - View hand 1858345
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t2290.00 22.90 BBs - VPIP: 28, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 4.3, Hands: 223
BB: t2390.00 23.90 BBs - VPIP: 17, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 4.7, Hands: 690
UTG: t3300.00 33 BBs - VPIP: 19, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 2.3, Hands: 171
UTG+1: t1940.00 19.40 BBs - VPIP: 14, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 2.1, Hands: 3463
Hero (UTG+2): t1750.00 17.50 BBs - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 2.8, Hands: 40275
MP1: t1390.00 13.90 BBs - VPIP: 29, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 38
MP2: t1770.00 17.70 BBs - VPIP: 13, PFR: 9, 3B: 4, AF: 1.6, Hands: 2423
MP3: t1350.00 13.50 BBs - VPIP: 26, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: NaN, Hands: 38
CO: t1940.00 19.40 BBs - VPIP: 13, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 3.2, Hands: 11012
BTN: t1880.00 18.80 BBs - VPIP: 27, PFR: 6, 3B: 1, AF: 1.0, Hands: 408

Pre Flop: (t150) Hero is UTG+2 with 9 :spade: 9 :diamond:
2 folds, Hero raises to t245, MP1 calls t245, 4 folds, SB calls t195, 1 fold

Flop: (t835) 7 :spade: T :club: 5 :heart: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t475.00, MP1 calls t475, SB folds

Turn: (t1785) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets t200.00, Hero folds

MP1 is unknown. filtered 34/1.30/26/15
SB is known aggro fish. filtered 153hands/ 4.80/26/12

pre: 10handed this is where I start raising 99 (so fold on utg & utg+1/7 behind).. is that ok or a bit too tight?

post: I don't know. I think cbet is usually ok 3way here. I might still have the best hand and board is quite dry. I intend to bet/fold here. The only problem is the stack size of MP1.

turn: I don't know again! :f_biggrin: maybe I am committed? in-game, I convinced myself he has the Tx or overpair.. flatting in 3way spot and 1.3 AF.. ?(


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3 replies
kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

I believe there is a ton of other hands this fish might have rather than just overpairs or Tx. But the board including a T is not great as these fishes will like to flat a lot of AT, KT, JT, QT type of hands imo. Maybe not this short, but who knows. I would still suggest folding pre tbh with these stack sizes on loose fishy tables. It's ok as you can stack off with an overpair vs fishy opponents or on some other boards where you expect to have the best hand, but usually- you will end up in a trouble having difficulties postflop.

Postflop- cbet is...ok imo. 38 hands is not such a big sample. It's an ugly spot. If you think he rather pushes your cbet with this Tx hands- which most players will do- just push this turn card for value. If you think he flats most of his Tx and overpairs(which I am not sure of)- c/f this turn. If he is the floater type- I bet shove this turn for value. Else- I check fold.

On his small bet though-urghhh... even if he has Tx that he flatted, wouldn't he bet bigger and protect it? I will leave the thread open and check with the other hand judges to see what their opinion is.


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Long story short-after I though about the hand again and also analyzed with <3, we agreed that shoving turn is best. We are just super short, there are bad cards to come and we don't wanna face tough decision as the one on this turn-just shove for value you will be good here often enough given how short we are.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I would tend to size flop cbet smaller. It is 3way pot, but board is dry and we have 2blockers to unlikely straight draws. Bet of 300-350 would be my choise.


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