Poker Stars $200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1864052
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
BTN: $232.32
SB: $204.00
BB: $200.00
UTG: $211.24
Hero (MP): $215.15
CO: $475.13
Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is MP with T♣ A♣
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 1 fold, BTN calls $6, 2 folds
Flop: ($15.00) K♣ 5♥ T♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($15.00) 8♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $10.02, BTN calls $10.02
River: ($35.04) A♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $27.00, BTN raises to $88, Hero calls $61
Getting 29% to call the River raise.
1) Flop is a very questionable check. I would probably cbet vs tougher opponents but this guy is 19/13 and looks nitty to me, I think I can check/call one or 2 streets and not expect to get 3barreled very often so I can make minimal mistakes.
2) I suppose this is a very standard call vs a LAG on the River? Given that they almost certainly bet AK on the Flop, and they bet QJ very often as well, and they can also be bluffing.
3) Against this 19/13 guy, is it possible to find a fold? I don't think he is ever bluffing here. He has rather low postflop aggression (AF 1.4 on most streets). Then again given his preflop tightness I don't think he has QJo, he shouldn't have too many suited Aces too since he's tight. He should be checking his flop draws a fair amount of the time.
River raising Range
QJs (4 combos)
ATs (2 combos)
A5s (1 combo)
A8s (2 combos)
88 (3 combos)
Some Slowplayed set (~0.5-1 combo)
Equity Win Tie
MP2 72.73% 63.64% 9.09% 88, ATs, A8s, A5s, QJs
MP3 27.27% 18.18% 9.09% AcTc
Of course I'm assuming he never bluffs, which should be a fairly accurate assumption on the whole, given that my range is not necessarily capped (could have 88/AT/KK).
I also think he does not necessarily raise River all the time with A5s and A8s, given that there isn't too much value to be had (I'm probably not calling worse)
