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overcards +OESD vs flop raise MSS NL10

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Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011
PokerStrategist

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1868251
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP: $4.16 - VPIP: 62, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 2.7, Hands: 29
CO: $3.25 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 29
BTN: $21.08 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 25, 3B: 25, AF: 0.0, Hands: 32
SB: $12.71 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 14, AF: 0.0, Hands: 24
Hero (BB): $3.89 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 4.0, Hands: 6463
UTG: $10.00 - VPIP: 7, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 14

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with K :diamond: Q :diamond:
1 fold, MP calls $0.10, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.85) J :heart: 7 :club: T :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.46, MP raises to $0.92, Hero raises to $3.49, MP calls $2.57

Turn: ($7.83) 3 :club: (2 players)

River: ($7.83) 7 :diamond: (2 players)

I dont think calling is an option, i have decent equity if he has does have a hand, and he could easily he going this with a draw or even air, would yu shove or fold here?

Didnt include JJ or TT as i didnt think hes limp/call with them


Board: J♥T♠7♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    34.47%  22.50%  11.98% { KdQd }
MP3    65.53%  53.55%  11.98% { 77, KQs, JTs, 98s, KQo, JTo, 98o }


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4 replies
JohnDoe1313
Joined: 04.01.2011
Elite Grinder

Hey,

you have 35% in your equity calculation, but you need 44,58% due to pod odds. Also I don't think he would play KQ like this.

I think you could just call since it's a minraise and then reevaluate turn.

Anyway, could any mod move this into MSS Hands evalutation?


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Castle93 Topic starter
Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011
PokerStrategist

Ops just seen I didn't post it in the right forums, and I didn't include hands like AJ in my calc either, thanks for your 2 cents though


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JohnDoe1313
Joined: 04.01.2011
Elite Grinder

Yes, AJ could be in his range. This is my range assumption

Board: 7♣T♠J♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    33.81%  33.81%   0.00% { KdQd }
BB     66.19%  66.19%   0.00% { TT, 77, AJs, JTs, J7s, T7s, 98s, AJo, JTo, J7o, 98o }

J7o is questionable though.


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Castle93 Topic starter
Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011
PokerStrategist

Yeah that's why I didn't include TT or J7, different think he d Play either of these this way pre

COULD A MOD PLEASE MOVE THIS HAND, have to skype Gary otherwise :P


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