Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,480)
BB ($1,500)
UTG ($1,500)
UTG+1 ($1,530)
Hero ($1,150)
BTN ($1,840)
Dealt to Hero J♦ A♠
fold, UTG+1 raises to $60, Hero calls $60, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($150) J♠ K♣ 4♣
UTG+1 bets $80, Hero calls $80
TURN ($310) J♠ K♣ 4♣ 4♥
UTG+1 bets $160, Hero calls $160
RIVER ($630) J♠ K♣ 4♣ 4♥ 3♥
UTG+1 bets $300, Hero folds
UTG+1 wins $630
Villain is a reg. I think his range is wide enough + we have position.
-I was really unsure why should I fold. It's obvious the only hand I have with K in it here is AK. I 3bet KK, fold KQ pre etc.
So, given that, isn't this a good spot for him to triple barrel me off my hand? Even QQ I might fold and maybe he realize it.
On the other hand, the only thing he reps is AK, JJ and that's it. I have blockers for both and KQ doesn't go for 3barrel, 44 is kind of very unlikely not that it paired + it might not be in his range preflop.
-if I call turn, should I call 1/2 river?
-do you agree with my thinking process?