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Standard snap call on river need 24% eq to be? NL 50

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Saren113
Joined: 06.03.2009

Villian is a 68-18 player so he got some aF, but he is more passive postflop tho. My thinking was like when the jack comes on the river it's very unlikely he got a jack it's unlikely he got a made hand as I block the nut FD. So he is quite polarized to either a busted FD a second pair like(77 88 99 TT or a jack don't ever think he got a set on this board he wouldn't c/c it he would either donk it on flop or check raise it.

GTECH G2 (Boss) - kr2 NL (5 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: k218.56
Hero (BB): k417.35
UTG: k91.37
BTN: k398.00

SB posts SB k1.00, Hero posts BB k2.00

Pre Flop: (pot: k3.00) Hero has A♣ A♦

fold, fold, SB raises to k6.00, Hero raises to k18.00, SB calls k12.00

Flop: (k36.00, 2 players) 6♦ 3♦ J♦
SB checks, Hero bets k27.00, SB calls k27.00

Turn: (k90.00, 2 players) 2♣
SB checks, Hero bets k68.00, SB calls k68.00

River: (k226.00, 2 players) J♠
SB bets k105.56 and is all-in, Hero calls k105.56


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2 replies

Hey,

I just don't think that he is floating 2 street in a 3bet pot to donkshove the river as a bluff. He is way more likely to check the river with TT. He can't have many missed FD's which shove because you block them.

For me it's a fold.


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getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

This spot really sucks, but I think u have to fold. He will show up with Jx or flush like 99% of the time. This player will never turn any pair into a bluff and he can't have Ahi flushdraw, so he has no busted fds at all. I rather call with AK without Ad than this :)


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