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NL25 SH - A5s: trips

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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

SB: 20/16/2.5
8% call sb vs steal
7.6% 3bet overall
68% fold vs cbet flop
43% fold vs cbet turn
28% wtsd
3.5k hands

BB: 38/17/1.3
59% fold vs cbet flop
800 hands

MP: $22.40 (89.6 bb)
CO: $45.05 (180.2 bb)
Hero (BTN): $26 (104 bb)
SB: $34.95 (139.8 bb)
BB: $38.08 (152.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A♠ 5♠
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.25) 9♥ T♠ 5♣ (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB calls $1.20, BB folds

Turn: ($4.65) 5♦ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.05, SB calls $3.05

River: ($10.75) K♦ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero

There is value to bet the river? I have a good hand but cant see him calling with much worst but i can see him showing up QJ easily.


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Hi Lunitis,

Preflop/flop/turn: looks good.

River: What do you think villains range is on the river?

I think it's made up of: Tx (including T9), JJ (if he doesn't 3-bet preflop with fish behind), QJ/78 and that's about it.

On the river we steal beat Tx/JJ but now lose to a few combos of QJ. Since I can't expect villain to turn a made hand into a bluff (and there are few other possible bluffs in his range) I wouldn't be afraid to bet/fold the river.
I feel that 1/2-2/3 pot bet can still get called by Tx hands since he may think we are bluffing the high card (notice his higher than average WTSD).


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